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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
23.08.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
23.08.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nice - Auxerre

France Football
Nice
Nice
3 : 1
Finished
Auxerre
Auxerre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nice - Auxerre August 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nice.

Line favourite market consensus: Nice. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.85 / X 3.67 / 2 4.19
  • 1X2 market: Nice 51.4% / X 25.9% / Auxerre 22.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 51.4%
X 25.9%
2 22.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 48.7%
Under 2.5 51.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.08.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Nice - Auxerre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.20 market consensus · line only
X 3.67 market consensus · line only
1 1.86 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.98 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.02 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.94 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.90 52.6%
X 3.69 27.1%
4.30 23.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.78 56.2% 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8%
X 3.80 26.3% 3.45 29.0% 3.83 26.1% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7%
4.30 23.3% 4.30 23.3% 4.40 22.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.96 51.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.90 52.6% 1.97 50.8%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.89 52.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.01 49.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 2.01 49.8%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.24 80.7%
Match center
Nice
L W L W W
16.08 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:1 ToulouseToulouse
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 6:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:2 RennesRennes
02.05 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:0 Reims
25.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 3:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Auxerre
W L D L W
17.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:0 LorientLorient
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:1 NantesNantes
04.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:2 Le HavreLe Havre
27.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 4:0 LensLens
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNice - Auxerre

Nice
0 matches total
Auxerre
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history