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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
29.10.2025 18:00 UTC Match prediction
29.10.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nice - Lille

France Football
Nice
Nice
2 : 0
Finished
Lille
Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nice - Lille October 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.44 / X 3.54 / 2 2.11
  • 1X2 market: Nice 27.8% / X 26.9% / Lille 45.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 27.8%
X 27.0%
2 45.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 56.2%
Under 2.5 43.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.10.2025 18:00 UTC
Match center

Nice - Lille

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.10 market consensus · line only
X 3.54 market consensus · line only
1 3.46 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.77 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.92 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.18 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.31 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.71 27.0%
X 3.62 27.6%
2.07 48.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.35 29.9% 3.55 28.2% 3.61 27.7% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.65 27.4%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.60 27.8% 3.68 27.2% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.55 28.2%
2.08 48.1% 2.03 49.3% 2.14 46.7% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.28 43.9% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.43 41.2%
yes 1.55 64.5% 1.58 63.3% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.73 57.8% 1.79 55.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.79 55.9%
Match center
Nice
W W D D L
26.10 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 2:1 RennesRennes
18.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 3:2 LionLion
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 2:2 MonacoMonaco
28.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:1 Paris FCParis FC
20.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:4 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
8 Points
Lille
W W D L L
26.10 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 6:1 MetzMetz
19.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 2:0 NantesNantes
05.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
28.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:1 LionLion
20.09 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:3 LensLens
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNice - Lille

Nice
0 matches total
Lille
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history