Match center
Start
21.11.2025 19:45 UTC
21.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Nice - Marseille
1
:
5
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Nice - Marseille 21 ноября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.
Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.69 / X 3.65 / 2 1.98
- 1X2 market: Nice 25.8% / X 26.1% / Marseille 48.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.0%
1
25.8%
X
26.1%
2
48.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5
56.2%
Under 2.5
43.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Nice - Marseille
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.98
market consensus · line only
X
3.66
market consensus · line only
1
3.70
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.27
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
1.85
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.29
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.08
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.97
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.75
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.70
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.18
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.28
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.59
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.81 26.3% |
| Х | 3.73 26.8% |
| П2 | 2.01 49.8% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 3.75 26.7% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.85 26.0% |
| Х | 3.60 27.8% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.70 27.0% |
| П2 | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.04 49.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.02 49.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.25 44.4% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.26 44.3% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.39 41.8% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.62 61.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.80 55.6% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.86 53.8% |
Match center
Nice
L
L
W
W
W
09.11 16:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Nice
1:2
Metz
Metz
01.11 16:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Nice
0:1
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
29.10 18:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Nice
2:0
Lille
Lille
26.10 16:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Nice
2:1
Rennes
Rennes
18.10 15:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Nice
3:2
Lion
Lion
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.2
Conceded
9
Points
Marseille
W
W
D
L
W
08.11 16:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
3:0
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
01.11 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
1:0
Auxerre
Auxerre
29.10 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
2:2
Angers
Angers
25.10 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
1:2
Lens
Lens
18.10 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
6:2
Le Havre
Le Havre
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.6
Scored
1.2
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNice - Marseille
Nice
1
matches total
Nice: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Marseille: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Marseille 0:2 (14.09 15:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (0:2, 14.09 15:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
14.09 15:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Nice
0:2
Marseille