Match center
Start
17.05.2026 19:00 UTC
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17.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Nice - Metz
0
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Nice - Metz May 17, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nice.
Line favourite market consensus: Nice. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.31 / X 5.52 / 2 9.02
- 1X2 market: Nice 72.3% / X 17.2% / Metz 10.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 62.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.5%
1
72.3%
X
17.2%
2
10.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 7.1%
Over 2.5
62.7%
Under 2.5
37.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Nice - Metz
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.02
market consensus · line only
X
5.52
market consensus · line only
1
1.31
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.39
market consensus · line only
12
1.14
market consensus · line only
1X
1.07
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.42
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.72
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
6.80
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.31
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.49
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.50
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.91
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.83
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.33 75.2% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.25 80.0% | |
| X | 5.30 18.9% | 5.89 17.0% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.70 17.5% | 5.50 18.2% |
| 7.70 13.0% | 9.95 10.1% | 8.50 11.8% | 9.50 10.5% | 9.25 10.8% | 9.50 10.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.95 51.3% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.92 52.1% |
| yes | 1.77 56.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.81 55.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.25 30.8% | 3.56 28.1% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.50 28.6% |
| home_away | 1.11 90.1% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.13 88.5% |
| home_draw | 1.07 93.5% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.04 96.2% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 97.1% | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.15 87.0% | 1.12 89.3% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.15 87.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.50 66.7% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.25 44.4% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.90 25.6% | — |
| Over 5.5 | 7.00 14.3% | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.00 9.1% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.55 39.2% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.62 61.7% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.09 91.7% | — |
Match center
Nice
L
D
D
D
D
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Nice
1:2
Auxerre
Auxerre
02.05 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Nice
1:1
Lens
Lens
26.04 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Nice
1:1
Marseille
Marseille
18.04 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Nice
0:0
Lille
Lille
12.04 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Nice
1:1
Le Havre
Le Havre
0
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.0
Conceded
4
Points
Metz
L
L
D
L
L
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Metz
0:4
Lorient
Lorient
02.05 17:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Metz
1:2
Monaco
Monaco
26.04 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Metz
4:4
Le Havre
Le Havre
19.04 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Metz
1:3
Paris FC
Paris FC
10.04 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Metz
1:3
Marseille
Marseille
0
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
1.4
Scored
3.2
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNice - Metz
Nice
1
matches total
Nice: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Metz: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Metz 1:2 (09.11 16:15 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (1:2, 09.11 16:15 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
09.11 16:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Nice
1:2
Metz
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