Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
04.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nice - Nantes

France Futbol
Nice
Nice
1 : 2
Finished
Nantes
Nantes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nice - Nantes 4 апреля 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nice.

Line favourite market consensus: Nice. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.49 / X 4.60 / 2 6.98
  • 1X2 market: Nice 65.0% / X 21.1% / Nantes 13.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 65.0%
X 21.1%
2 13.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 55.4%
Under 2.5 44.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Nice - Nantes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.98 market consensus · line only
X 4.60 market consensus · line only
1 1.49 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.80 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.13 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.49 67.1%
Х 4.60 21.7%
П2 6.98 14.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.80 35.7%
home_away 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 1.13 88.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.75 57.1%
ТМ 2.5 2.17 46.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.18 84.8%
П2 5.45 18.4%
Match center
Nice
W D D D W
27.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 2:1 MonacoMonaco
20.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:1 NantesNantes
06.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
28.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:0 LensLens
20.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 8:0 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Nantes
L D L D D
27.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
20.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:1 NiceNice
06.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:2 LionLion
29.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:2 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
22.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:1 AngersAngers
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNice - Nantes

Nice
1 matches total
Nantes
Nice: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Nantes: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 20.10 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (20.10 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

20.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice
1:1
Nantes