Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
13.09.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nice - Nantes

France Futbol
Nice
Nice
1 : 0
Finished
Nantes
Nantes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nice - Nantes 13 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nice.

Line favourite market consensus: Nice. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.60 / X 4.15 / 2 5.58
  • 1X2 market: Nice 59.7% / X 23.1% / Nantes 17.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 59.8%
X 23.1%
2 17.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 54.1%
Under 2.5 45.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.09.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Nice - Nantes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.60 market consensus · line only
X 4.15 market consensus · line only
1 1.61 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.36 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.41 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.86 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.25 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.99 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.61 62.1%
Х 4.17 24.0%
П2 5.77 17.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
П1 1.58 63.3% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.61 62.1% 1.61 62.1%
Х 4.20 23.8% 4.30 23.3% 4.10 24.4% 4.20 23.8% 4.17 24.0% 4.17 24.0%
П2 5.60 17.9% 5.64 17.7% 5.75 17.4% 5.50 18.2% 5.77 17.3% 5.77 17.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.03 49.3% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 2.03 49.3% 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.76 56.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 2.38 42.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.39 41.8% 2.43 41.2% 2.43 41.2% 2.25 44.4%
home_away 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Nice
L W L W L
31.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:3 Le HavreLe Havre
23.08 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 3:1 AuxerreAuxerre
16.08 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:1 ToulouseToulouse
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 6:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:2 RennesRennes
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Nantes
W L L W D
30.08 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:0 AuxerreAuxerre
24.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
17.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 3:0 Montpellier
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:1 AuxerreAuxerre
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNice - Nantes

Nice
2 matches total
Nantes
Nice: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Nantes: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Nantes 1:2 (04.04 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 04.04 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (20.10 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

04.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice
1:2
Nantes
20.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice
1:1
Nantes