Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
06.10.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nice - Paris Saint Germain

France Futbol
Nice
Nice
1 : 1
Finished
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nice - Paris Saint Germain 6 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.57 / X 4.31 / 2 1.61
  • 1X2 market: Nice 17.4% / X 22.5% / Paris Saint Germain 60.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 17.4%
X 22.5%
2 60.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 59.4%
Under 2.5 40.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.10.2024 18:45 UTC
Match center

Nice - Paris Saint Germain

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.61 market consensus · line only
X 4.31 market consensus · line only
1 5.57 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.17 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 2.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.38 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.57 18.0%
Х 4.31 23.2%
П2 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.17 85.5%
home_away 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 2.44 41.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.63 61.4%
ТМ 2.5 2.38 42.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.30 23.3%
П2 1.25 80.0%
Match center
Nice
D W L W
28.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:0 LensLens
20.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 8:0 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
14.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:2 MarseilleMarseille
01.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 4:1 AngersAngers
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Paris Saint Germain
W D W W
27.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:1 RennesRennes
21.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 Reims
14.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
01.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:1 LilleLille
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNice - Paris Saint Germain

Nice
0 matches total
Paris Saint Germain
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history