Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
21.03.2026 20:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nice - Paris Saint Germain

France Futbol
Nice
Nice
0 : 4
Finished
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nice - Paris Saint Germain 21 марта 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.35 / X 4.91 / 2 1.44
  • 1X2 market: Nice 15.0% / X 19.4% / Paris Saint Germain 65.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 14.9%
X 19.3%
2 65.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.8%
Over 2.5 65.5%
Under 2.5 34.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.03.2026 20:05 UTC
Match center

Nice - Paris Saint Germain

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.44 market consensus · line only
X 4.95 market consensus · line only
1 6.40 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.12 market consensus · line only
12 1.17 market consensus · line only
1X 2.75 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.67 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.71 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.29 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.58 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 7.04 14.2%
Х 5.45 18.4%
П2 1.40 71.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 6.25 16.0% 6.10 16.4% 6.47 15.5% 5.75 17.4% 6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4%
Х 4.75 21.1% 5.30 18.9% 5.15 19.4% 4.60 21.7% 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0%
П2 1.43 69.9% 1.43 69.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.25 44.4% 2.31 43.3% 2.28 43.9% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.59 62.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.15 87.0% 1.08 92.6%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 2.75 36.4% 2.79 35.8% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7%
Match center
Nice
W L L D L
14.03 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 2:0 AngersAngers
08.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:4 RennesRennes
01.03 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:1 Paris FCParis FC
22.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 3:3 LorientLorient
15.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:2 LionLion
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Paris Saint Germain
L W W L W
06.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:3 MonacoMonaco
28.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:0 Le HavreLe Havre
21.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:0 MetzMetz
13.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:3 RennesRennes
08.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 5:0 MarseilleMarseille
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNice - Paris Saint Germain

Nice
3 matches total
Paris Saint Germain
Nice: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Paris Saint Germain: 1 (33.4%)
Biggest win Nice 3:1 (25.04 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 25.04 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (06.10 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 4

Match history

01.11 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice
0:1
Paris Saint Germain
25.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice
3:1
Paris Saint Germain
06.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice
1:1
Paris Saint Germain