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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
20.09.2024 18:45 UTC Match prediction
20.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nice - Saint Etienne

France Futbol
Nice
Nice
8 : 0
Finished
Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nice - Saint Etienne 20 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nice.

Line favourite market consensus: Nice. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.51 / X 4.38 / 2 7.13
  • 1X2 market: Nice 64.2% / X 22.2% / Saint Etienne 13.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 64.2%
X 22.1%
2 13.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.5%
Over 2.5 51.9%
Under 2.5 48.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Match center

Nice - Saint Etienne

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.13 market consensus · line only
X 4.38 market consensus · line only
1 1.51 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.73 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.51 66.2%
Х 4.38 22.8%
П2 7.13 14.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.73 36.6%
home_away 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.12 89.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.88 53.2%
ТМ 2.5 2.03 49.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.18 84.8%
П2 5.49 18.2%
Match center
Nice
L W
14.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:2 MarseilleMarseille
01.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 4:1 AngersAngers
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Saint Etienne
W
13.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 1:0 LilleLille
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNice - Saint Etienne

Nice
0 matches total
Saint Etienne
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history