Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
29.05.2026 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nice - Saint Etienne

France Futbol
Nice
Nice
4 : 1
Finished
Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nice - Saint Etienne 29 мая 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nice.

Line favourite market consensus: Nice. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.97 / X 3.17 / 2 4.33
  • 1X2 market: Nice 48.2% / X 29.9% / Saint Etienne 22.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 48.2%
X 29.9%
2 21.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 37.3%
Under 2.5 62.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.05.2026 18:45 UTC
Match center

Nice - Saint Etienne

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.33 market consensus · line only
X 3.17 market consensus · line only
1 1.97 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.83 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.15 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.54 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.64 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.16 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 1.92 52.1% 2.01 49.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4%
Х 3.15 31.8% 3.24 30.9% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8%
П2 4.35 23.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.33 23.1% 4.65 21.5% 4.50 22.2% 4.40 22.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 1.65 60.6% 1.63 61.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.16 46.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.16 46.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.10 90.9% 1.06 94.3%
ТБ 0.75 1.09 91.7%
ТБ 1.0 1.12 89.3%
ТБ 1.25 1.30 76.9%
ТБ 1.5 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0%
ТБ 1.75 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 2.0 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 2.25 2.22 45.1%
ТБ 2.5 2.45 40.8%
ТБ 3.5 4.75 21.1%
ТБ 4.5 9.50 10.5%
ТМ 0.5 6.50 15.4%
ТМ 1.5 2.55 39.2%
ТМ 2.5 1.53 65.4%
ТМ 3.5 1.18 84.8%
ТМ 4.5 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Nice
D D L D D
26.05 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:0 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:0 MetzMetz
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:2 AuxerreAuxerre
02.05 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:1 LensLens
26.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:1 MarseilleMarseille
0 Wins
4 Draws
1 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
4 Points
Saint Etienne
D W L W L
26.05 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 0:0 NiceNice
15.05 18:30 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 1:0 RodezRodez
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 2:3 ToulouseToulouse
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 2:0 Reims
03.05 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 1:3 MonacoMonaco
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNice - Saint Etienne

Nice
2 matches total
Saint Etienne
Nice: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Saint Etienne: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Nice 8:0 (20.09 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 8 goals (8:0, 20.09 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (26.05 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

8 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 8

Match history

26.05 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice
0:0
Saint Etienne
20.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice
8:0
Saint Etienne