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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
03.01.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction
03.01.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nice - Strasbourg

France Football
Nice
Nice
1 : 1
Finished
Strasbourg
Strasbourg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nice - Strasbourg January 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Strasbourg.

Line favourite market consensus: Strasbourg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.16 / X 3.54 / 2 2.20
  • 1X2 market: Nice 30.1% / X 26.9% / Strasbourg 43.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 30.0%
X 26.8%
2 43.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 54.9%
Under 2.5 45.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.01.2026 18:00 UTC
Match center

Nice - Strasbourg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.20 market consensus · line only
X 3.54 market consensus · line only
1 3.17 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.36 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.68 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.14 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.15 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.28 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.29 30.4%
X 3.62 27.6%
2.23 44.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.30 30.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.29 30.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4% 3.68 27.2% 3.30 30.3% 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8%
2.12 47.2% 2.19 45.7% 2.28 43.9% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.25 44.4% 2.31 43.3% 2.26 44.3% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.23 44.8% 2.38 42.0%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.59 62.9% 1.58 63.3% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.58 63.3% 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.39 71.9%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.70 58.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.71 58.5%
Match center
Nice
L L L L L
14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:2 LensLens
07.12 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:1 AngersAngers
30.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:3 LorientLorient
21.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:5 MarseilleMarseille
09.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:2 MetzMetz
0 Wins
0 Draws
5 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.6 Conceded
0 Points
Strasbourg
D L L L W
14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0:0 LorientLorient
06.12 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0:1 ToulouseToulouse
30.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
22.11 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0:1 LensLens
09.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:0 LilleLille
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNice - Strasbourg

Nice
1 matches total
Strasbourg
Nice: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Strasbourg: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 12.04 19:05 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (12.04 19:05 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

12.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Nice
2:2
Strasbourg