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Start
03.10.2025 18:45 UTC
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03.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Paris FC - Lorient
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Paris FC - Lorient October 3, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris FC.
Line favourite market consensus: Paris FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / X 3.88 / 2 4.61
- 1X2 market: Paris FC 54.7% / X 24.6% / Lorient 20.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1
54.8%
X
24.6%
2
20.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5
54.5%
Under 2.5
45.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Paris FC - Lorient
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.63
market consensus · line only
X
3.88
market consensus · line only
1
1.74
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.11
market consensus · line only
12
1.26
market consensus · line only
1X
1.20
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.13
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.64
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.19
market consensus · line only
2 +1
8.00
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.75
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.10
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.09
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.70
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.76 56.8% | |
| X | 3.86 25.9% |
| 4.89 20.5% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.72 58.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.78 56.2% | |
| X | 3.85 26.0% | 4.05 24.7% | 4.13 24.2% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.85 26.0% |
| 4.50 22.2% | 4.30 23.3% | 4.69 21.3% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.90 20.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.15 46.5% |
| yes | 1.70 58.8% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.76 56.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.05 48.8% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.16 46.3% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.27 78.7% |
| home_draw | 1.20 83.3% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.22 82.0% |
Match center
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Marseille
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2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2.0
Scored
2.4
Conceded
7
Points
Lorient
W
D
L
L
W
27.09 15:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lorient
3:1
Monaco
Monaco
21.09 15:15 UTC
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Lorient
1:1
Le Havre
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12.09 18:45 UTC
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0:4
Marseille
Marseille
30.08 15:00 UTC
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Lorient
1:7
Lille
Lille
24.08 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lorient
4:0
Rennes
Rennes
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.8
Scored
2.6
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyParis FC - Lorient
Paris FC
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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