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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
31.08.2025 15:15 UTC Match prediction
31.08.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris FC - Metz

France Football
Paris FC
Paris FC
3 : 2
Finished
Metz
Metz

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris FC - Metz August 31, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris FC.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 3.79 / 2 4.62
  • 1X2 market: Paris FC 54.3% / X 25.1% / Metz 20.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 54.3%
X 25.1%
2 20.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 51.4%
Under 2.5 48.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.08.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Paris FC - Metz

Form 2/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.63 market consensus · line only
X 3.80 market consensus · line only
1 1.75 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.09 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.19 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.32 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.96 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.76 56.8%
X 3.93 25.5%
4.79 20.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.73 57.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.94 25.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.85 26.0%
4.60 21.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.82 20.8% 4.60 21.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.55 22.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.94 51.6% 2.04 49.0%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.77 56.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.12 47.2% 2.13 47.0%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.21 82.6%
Match center
Paris FC
L L
23.08 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:5 MarseilleMarseille
17.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 0:1 AngersAngers
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Metz
L L D D
23.08 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 0:3 LionLion
17.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 0:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
29.05 18:30 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 1:1 Reims
21.05 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 1:1 Reims
0 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParis FC - Metz

Paris FC
0 matches total
Metz
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history