AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Paris FC. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
30.08.2026 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris FC meet Nice on August 30, 2026 in the Ligue 1, France.
Recent form (W-D-L): Paris FC 0-3-2, Nice 1-3-1. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Paris FC — 55%
Model estimate: win Paris FC 55.4%, draw 20.5%, win Nice 24.1%. Model favourite — Paris FC.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.92 52.1% | 1.89 52.9% |
| yes | 1.85 54.1% | 1.81 55.3% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.35 74.1% |
| 1x | 1.30 76.9% |
| x2 | 1.77 56.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.74 36.5% | |
| X | 2.09 47.9% |
| 4.22 23.7% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.97 50.8% |
| Under 1 | 1.75 57.1% |
Paris FC
Nice
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.1 | 3.35 | 3.65 |
| Winline | 2.16 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Fonbet | 2.15 | 3.45 | 3.45 |
| Betcity | 2.13 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.12 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
Paris FC
Nice
Full head-to-head history: Paris FC - Nice
Liga 1
Liga 1
The Paris FC - Nice breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
August 30, 2026.
Match markets