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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
07.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris FC - Rennes

France Football
Paris FC
Paris FC
0 : 1
Finished
Rennes
Rennes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris FC - Rennes November 7, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris FC.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.20 / X 3.54 / 2 3.17
  • 1X2 market: Paris FC 43.2% / X 26.9% / Rennes 30.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 43.2%
X 26.8%
2 30.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 53.8%
Under 2.5 46.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

Paris FC - Rennes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.18 market consensus · line only
X 3.55 market consensus · line only
1 2.20 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.68 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.36 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.32 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.15 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.68 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.24 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.21 45.3%
X 3.65 27.4%
3.31 30.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.29 43.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.18 45.9%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.67 27.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%
3.05 32.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.26 30.7% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.20 45.5% 2.31 43.3% 2.22 45.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.19 45.7% 2.36 42.4%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.64 61.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.69 59.2%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.35 74.1% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.38 72.5%
Match center
Paris FC
W D L L W
01.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:0 MonacoMonaco
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 3:3 LionLion
24.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:2 NantesNantes
19.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:2 LensLens
03.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:0 LorientLorient
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Rennes
W D L D D
02.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 4:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:2 ToulouseToulouse
26.10 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:2 NiceNice
19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:2 AuxerreAuxerre
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:2 Le HavreLe Havre
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParis FC - Rennes

Paris FC
0 matches total
Rennes
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history