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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
21.09.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction
21.09.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris FC - Strasbourg

France Football
Paris FC
Paris FC
2 : 3
Finished
Strasbourg
Strasbourg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris FC - Strasbourg September 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris FC.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.38 / X 3.44 / 2 2.93
  • 1X2 market: Paris FC 39.9% / X 27.7% / Strasbourg 32.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 39.9%
X 27.6%
2 32.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 53.1%
Under 2.5 46.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.09.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Paris FC - Strasbourg

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.94 market consensus · line only
X 3.44 market consensus · line only
1 2.38 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.60 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.41 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.28 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.94 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.97 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.22 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.40 41.7%
X 3.50 28.6%
3.08 32.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Betfair
2.36 42.4% 2.33 42.9% 2.48 40.3% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.55 28.2% 3.56 28.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.45 29.0% 3.30 30.3%
2.92 34.3% 2.95 33.9% 3.01 33.2% 2.80 35.7% 2.95 33.9% 2.90 34.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.39 41.8% 2.22 45.1%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.61 62.1% 1.61 62.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.63 61.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.42 70.4%
Match center
Paris FC
W W L L
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
31.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 3:2 MetzMetz
23.08 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:5 MarseilleMarseille
17.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 0:1 AngersAngers
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.3 Conceded
6 Points
Strasbourg
W L W W L
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:0 Le HavreLe Havre
31.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:3 MonacoMonaco
24.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:0 NantesNantes
17.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:0 MetzMetz
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:3 Le HavreLe Havre
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParis FC - Strasbourg

Paris FC
0 matches total
Strasbourg
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history