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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
05.04.2025 15:00 UTC Match prediction
05.04.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris Saint Germain - Angers

France Football
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 0
Finished
Angers
Angers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Angers April 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.12 / X 10.38 / 2 21.50
  • 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 86.2% / X 9.3% / Angers 4.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 86.2%
X 9.3%
2 4.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.04.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Paris Saint Germain - Angers

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.12 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 7.17 market consensus · line only
12 1.07 market consensus · line only
1X 1.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.12 89.3%
X 10.38 9.6%
21.50 4.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 7.17 14.0%
home_away 1.07 93.5%
home_draw 1.03 97.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 4.5 2.27 44.1%
Under 4.5 1.66 60.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.03 97.1%
18.10 5.5%
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
W W D W D
27.10 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:0 MarseilleMarseille
19.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 4:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
06.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 NiceNice
27.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:1 RennesRennes
21.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 Reims
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
11 Points
Angers
W D D L D
26.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 4:2 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
20.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:1 ToulouseToulouse
04.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:1 MarseilleMarseille
29.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:3 Reims
22.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:1 NantesNantes
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points