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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
22.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris Saint Germain - Angers

France Football
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 0
Finished
Angers
Angers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Angers August 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite Fonbet: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.10 / X 11.50 / 2 26.00
  • 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 87.9% / X 8.4% / Angers 3.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 74.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 87.9%
X 8.4%
2 3.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 74.3%
Under 2.5 25.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Paris Saint Germain - Angers

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.10 Fonbet · line only
X 10.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 7.00 Fonbet · line only
12 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 6.25 market consensus · line only
2 -1 6.20 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.12 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.28 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.70 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.09 91.7%
X 12.46 8.0%
27.03 3.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.11 90.1%
X 10.00 10.0% 11.50 8.7% 14.30 7.0% 12.00 8.3% 12.00 8.3% 11.75 8.5%
34.00 2.9% 26.00 3.9% 36.00 2.8% 29.00 3.5% 21.00 4.8% 29.00 3.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4%
yes 2.25 44.4% 2.31 43.3% 2.32 43.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.38 42.0% 2.32 43.1% 2.38 42.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 7.50 13.3% 9.30 10.8% 8.50 11.8% 8.00 12.5% 7.80 12.8% 6.00 16.7%
home_away 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3%
home_draw 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
W W W L L
17.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:0 NantesNantes
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:1 AuxerreAuxerre
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 4:1 Montpellier
03.05 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
25.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:3 NiceNice
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Angers
W L W W L
17.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 Paris FCParis FC
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 LionLion
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 2:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
04.05 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 NantesNantes
27.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 LilleLille
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParis Saint Germain - Angers

Paris Saint Germain
1 matches total
Angers
Paris Saint Germain: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Angers: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Paris Saint Germain 1:0 (05.04 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 05.04 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

05.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
1:0
Angers