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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
19.04.2025 15:00 UTC Match prediction
19.04.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris Saint Germain - Le Havre

France Football
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 1
Finished
Le Havre
Le Havre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Le Havre April 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.14 / X 10.34 / 2 17.65
  • 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 85.1% / X 9.4% / Le Havre 5.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 85.1%
X 9.4%
2 5.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.04.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Paris Saint Germain - Le Havre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.14 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 6.71 market consensus · line only
12 1.08 market consensus · line only
1X 1.04 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.14 87.7%
X 10.34 9.7%
17.65 5.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 6.71 14.9%
home_away 1.08 92.6%
home_draw 1.04 96.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 3.5 2.32 43.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.04 96.2%
15.05 6.6%
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
W W W D W
05.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:0 AngersAngers
27.10 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:0 MarseilleMarseille
19.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 4:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
06.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 NiceNice
27.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:1 RennesRennes
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
Le Havre
L W L L L
13.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:5 RennesRennes
06.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:0 Montpellier
25.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:1 RennesRennes
20.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:4 LionLion
06.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.4 Conceded
3 Points