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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
14.09.2025 15:15 UTC Match prediction
14.09.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris Saint Germain - Lens

France Football
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 0
Finished
Lens
Lens

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Lens September 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.34 / X 5.66 / 2 7.64
  • 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 70.7% / X 16.8% / Lens 12.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 69.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 70.8%
X 16.8%
2 12.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5 69.8%
Under 2.5 30.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.09.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Paris Saint Germain - Lens

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.67 market consensus · line only
X 5.67 market consensus · line only
1 1.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.20 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.34 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.63 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.75 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.33 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.12 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.29 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.58 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.34 74.6%
X 5.93 16.9%
8.21 12.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.34 74.6% 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0%
X 5.60 17.9% 5.70 17.5% 5.88 17.0% 5.00 20.0% 6.00 16.7% 5.70 17.5%
7.40 13.5% 7.40 13.5% 8.15 12.3% 7.00 14.3% 7.00 14.3% 8.25 12.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 2.30 43.5% 2.34 42.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.27 44.1%
yes 1.55 64.5% 1.58 63.3% 1.56 64.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.00 33.3%
home_away 1.10 90.9% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.09 91.7% 1.09 91.7% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
W W W W W
30.08 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 6:3 ToulouseToulouse
22.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:0 AngersAngers
17.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:0 NantesNantes
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:1 AuxerreAuxerre
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 4:1 Montpellier
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
15 Points
Lens
W W L W D
29.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 3:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
24.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:1 Le HavreLe Havre
16.08 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:1 LionLion
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 4:0 MonacoMonaco
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:1 ToulouseToulouse
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParis Saint Germain - Lens

Paris Saint Germain
0 matches total
Lens
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history