Match center
Start
16.01.2026 20:00 UTC
16.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain - Lille
3
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Lille 16 января 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.
Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.29 / X 5.97 / 2 8.98
- 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 73.4% / X 15.9% / Lille 10.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 68.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.4%
1
73.5%
X
15.9%
2
10.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.9%
Over 2.5
68.8%
Under 2.5
31.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Paris Saint Germain - Lille
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
8.82
market consensus · line only
X
5.97
market consensus · line only
1
1.29
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.57
market consensus · line only
12
1.13
market consensus · line only
1X
1.07
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.47
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.85
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
7.30
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.32
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.36
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
3.00
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.12
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.67
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Х | 6.04 16.6% |
| П2 | 9.40 10.6% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.31 76.3% |
| Х | 5.90 17.0% | 6.30 15.9% | 6.15 16.3% | 5.50 18.2% | 6.25 16.0% | 6.30 15.9% |
| П2 | 8.50 11.8% | 8.80 11.4% | 10.40 9.6% | 8.50 11.8% | 8.00 12.5% | 9.50 10.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.15 46.5% | 2.16 46.3% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.18 45.9% |
| yes | 1.62 61.7% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.72 58.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.45 29.0% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.74 26.7% |
| home_away | 1.09 91.7% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.15 87.0% |
| home_draw | 1.07 93.5% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.06 94.3% |
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
W
W
W
L
W
04.01 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
2:1
Paris FC
Paris FC
13.12 18:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
3:2
Metz
Metz
06.12 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
5:0
Rennes
Rennes
29.11 16:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
0:1
Monaco
Monaco
22.11 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
3:0
Le Havre
Le Havre
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.6
Scored
0.8
Conceded
12
Points
Lille
L
W
W
W
W
03.01 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Lille
0:2
Rennes
Rennes
14.12 16:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Lille
4:3
Auxerre
Auxerre
05.12 20:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lille
1:0
Marseille
Marseille
30.11 16:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Lille
1:0
Le Havre
Le Havre
23.11 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lille
4:2
Paris FC
Paris FC
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.4
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyParis Saint Germain - Lille
Paris Saint Germain
2
matches total
Paris Saint Germain: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Lille: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Paris Saint Germain 3:1 (01.09 18:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (3:1, 01.09 18:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (05.10 18:45 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
05.10 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
1:1
Lille
01.09 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
3:1
Lille