Match center
Start
06.03.2026 19:45 UTC
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06.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain - Monaco
1
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Monaco March 6, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.
Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.35 / X 5.58 / 2 7.49
- 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 70.3% / X 17.0% / Monaco 12.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 71.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.3%
1
70.3%
X
17.0%
2
12.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5
71.4%
Under 2.5
28.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Paris Saint Germain - Monaco
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
7.51
market consensus · line only
X
5.60
market consensus · line only
1
1.35
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.21
market consensus · line only
12
1.14
market consensus · line only
1X
1.09
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.27
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.60
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
7.00
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.35
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.32
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
3.30
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.40
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.54
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.36 73.5% | |
| X | 5.84 17.1% |
| 7.84 12.8% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.35 74.1% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.39 71.9% | |
| X | 5.40 18.5% | 5.70 17.5% | 5.93 16.9% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.75 17.4% | 5.60 17.9% |
| 7.10 14.1% | 7.00 14.3% | 8.20 12.2% | 7.00 14.3% | 7.50 13.3% | 7.80 12.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.40 41.7% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.43 41.2% | 2.48 40.3% |
| yes | 1.50 66.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.59 62.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.10 32.3% | 3.32 30.1% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.10 32.3% |
| home_away | 1.11 90.1% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.13 88.5% |
| home_draw | 1.07 93.5% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.06 94.3% |
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
W
W
L
W
W
28.02 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
1:0
Le Havre
Le Havre
21.02 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
3:0
Metz
Metz
13.02 18:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
1:3
Rennes
Rennes
08.02 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
5:0
Marseille
Marseille
01.02 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
2:1
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.4
Scored
0.8
Conceded
12
Points
Monaco
W
W
W
D
W
28.02 18:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Monaco
2:0
Angers
Angers
21.02 16:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Monaco
3:2
Lens
Lens
13.02 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Monaco
3:1
Nantes
Nantes
08.02 14:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Monaco
0:0
Nice
Nice
31.01 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Monaco
4:0
Rennes
Rennes
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.4
Scored
0.6
Conceded
13
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyParis Saint Germain - Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
1
matches total
Paris Saint Germain: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Monaco: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Monaco 0:1 (29.11 16:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
1 goals (0:1, 29.11 16:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
29.11 16:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
0:1
Monaco
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