Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
25.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris Saint Germain - Nice

France Futbol
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 3
Finished
Nice
Nice

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Nice 25 апреля 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.69 / X 4.54 / 2 4.54
  • 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 57.3% / X 21.3% / Nice 21.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 57.3%
X 21.3%
2 21.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Paris Saint Germain - Nice

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.54 market consensus · line only
X 4.54 market consensus · line only
1 1.69 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.29 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.69 59.2%
Х 4.54 22.0%
П2 4.54 22.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.29 43.7%
home_away 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 1.23 81.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.17 46.1%
ТМ 3.5 1.75 57.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.32 75.8%
П2 3.58 27.9%
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
D W W W W
22.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 NantesNantes
19.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 2:1 Le HavreLe Havre
05.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:0 AngersAngers
27.10 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:0 MarseilleMarseille
19.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 4:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
Nice
W D L W D
20.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 2:1 AngersAngers
12.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 2:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
04.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:2 NantesNantes
27.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 2:1 MonacoMonaco
20.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:1 NantesNantes
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParis Saint Germain - Nice

Paris Saint Germain
1 matches total
Nice
Paris Saint Germain: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Nice: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 06.10 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (06.10 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

06.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
1:1
Nice