Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
01.11.2025 16:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris Saint Germain - Nice

France Futbol
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 0
Finished
Nice
Nice

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Nice 1 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.19 / X 7.59 / 2 13.93
  • 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 80.3% / X 12.7% / Nice 7.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 69.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 80.5%
X 12.6%
2 6.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5 69.7%
Under 2.5 30.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.11.2025 16:00 UTC
Match center

Paris Saint Germain - Nice

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.66 market consensus · line only
1 1.19 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 5.02 market consensus · line only
12 1.10 market consensus · line only
1X 1.04 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 4.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.92 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.80 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.19 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.10 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.18 84.8%
Х 8.13 12.3%
П2 15.49 6.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
П1 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8%
Х 7.40 13.5% 7.85 12.7% 7.00 14.3% 7.60 13.2% 8.13 12.3% 8.13 12.3%
П2 13.00 7.7% 15.00 6.7% 12.00 8.3% 14.50 6.9% 15.49 6.5% 15.49 6.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.91 52.4%
yes 1.94 51.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1% 2.02 49.5% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 4.94 20.2% 4.50 22.2% 5.05 19.8% 5.51 18.2% 5.51 18.2% 4.60 21.7%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9%
home_draw 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2%
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
D W D D W
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 LorientLorient
25.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
17.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
05.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 LilleLille
27.09 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 2:0 AuxerreAuxerre
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Nice
W W W D D
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 2:0 LilleLille
26.10 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 2:1 RennesRennes
18.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 3:2 LionLion
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 2:2 MonacoMonaco
28.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:1 Paris FCParis FC
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParis Saint Germain - Nice

Paris Saint Germain
2 matches total
Nice
Paris Saint Germain: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Nice: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Nice 1:3 (25.04 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 25.04 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (06.10 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 2

Match history

25.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
1:3
Nice
06.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
1:1
Nice