Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
27.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris Saint Germain - Rennes

France Futbol
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 1
Finished
Rennes
Rennes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Rennes 27 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.39 / X 5.15 / 2 8.31
  • 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 69.6% / X 18.8% / Rennes 11.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 69.6%
X 18.8%
2 11.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 60.6%
Under 2.5 39.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Paris Saint Germain - Rennes

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.31 market consensus · line only
X 5.15 market consensus · line only
1 1.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.26 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.39 71.9%
Х 5.15 19.4%
П2 8.31 12.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.26 30.7%
home_away 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 1.09 91.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.60 62.5%
ТМ 2.5 2.46 40.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.13 88.5%
П2 6.74 14.8%
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
D W W
21.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 Reims
14.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
01.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:1 LilleLille
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Rennes
D W L
21.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:1 LensLens
15.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 3:0 Montpellier
01.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:2 Reims
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points