Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
06.12.2025 20:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris Saint Germain - Rennes

France Futbol
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
5 : 0
Finished
Rennes
Rennes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Rennes 6 декабря 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.28 / X 6.22 / 2 8.86
  • 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 74.0% / X 15.3% / Rennes 10.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 71.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 74.1%
X 15.2%
2 10.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 71.5%
Under 2.5 28.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.12.2025 20:05 UTC
Match center

Paris Saint Germain - Rennes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.88 market consensus · line only
X 6.23 market consensus · line only
1 1.28 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.63 market consensus · line only
12 1.12 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.68 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.95 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.50 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.28 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.31 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.23 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.30 76.9%
Х 6.38 15.7%
П2 9.03 11.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.27 78.7% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8%
Х 6.00 16.7% 6.40 15.6% 6.71 14.9% 5.75 17.4% 6.50 15.4% 6.40 15.6%
П2 9.20 10.9% 8.80 11.4% 8.25 12.1% 8.50 11.8% 8.00 12.5% 9.00 11.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.26 44.3% 2.24 44.6% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.29 43.7%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.65 27.4% 3.74 26.7%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.09 91.7% 1.06 94.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.09 91.7% 1.07 93.5%
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
L W W W D
29.11 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 0:1 MonacoMonaco
22.11 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:0 Le HavreLe Havre
09.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:2 LionLion
01.11 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:0 NiceNice
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 LorientLorient
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Rennes
W W W W D
28.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:0 MetzMetz
22.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 4:1 MonacoMonaco
07.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:0 Paris FCParis FC
02.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 4:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:2 ToulouseToulouse
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParis Saint Germain - Rennes

Paris Saint Germain
1 matches total
Rennes
Paris Saint Germain: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Rennes: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Paris Saint Germain 3:1 (27.09 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 27.09 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

27.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
3:1
Rennes