Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
14.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris Saint Germain - Stade Brestois 29

France Futbol
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 1
Finished
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Stade Brestois 29 14 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.28 / X 6.15 / 2 10.35
  • 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 75.1% / X 15.6% / Stade Brestois 29 9.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 75.1%
X 15.6%
2 9.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Paris Saint Germain - Stade Brestois 29

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.15 market consensus · line only
1 1.28 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.99 market consensus · line only
12 1.16 market consensus · line only
1X 1.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.28 78.1%
Х 6.15 16.3%
П2 10.35 9.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.99 25.1%
home_away 1.16 86.2%
home_draw 1.06 94.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.17 46.1%
ТМ 3.5 1.74 57.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.09 91.7%
П2 8.65 11.6%
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
W
01.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:1 LilleLille
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points