Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
10.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris Saint Germain - Stade Brestois 29

France Futbol
Stadium Parc des Princes
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 0
Finished
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Stade Brestois 29 10 мая 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.20 / X 7.20 / 2 12.50
  • 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 79.2% / X 13.2% / Stade Brestois 29 7.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 71.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 79.2%
X 13.2%
2 7.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5 71.7%
Under 2.5 28.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

Paris Saint Germain - Stade Brestois 29

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.20 market consensus · line only
1 1.20 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.49 market consensus · line only
12 1.10 market consensus · line only
1X 1.04 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 4.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.75 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.19 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.31 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.32 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.98 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 1.16 86.2% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.17 85.5%
Х 7.20 13.9% 7.60 13.2% 6.50 15.4% 7.00 14.3% 7.30 13.7% 7.00 14.3%
П2 14.50 6.9% 12.90 7.8% 11.00 9.1% 11.00 9.1% 13.00 7.7% 13.00 7.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.77 56.5% 1.98 50.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 1.96 51.0% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 4.75 21.1% 4.56 21.9% 4.33 23.1% 4.33 23.1% 4.60 21.7% 4.50 22.2%
home_away 1.08 92.6% 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.07 93.5%
home_draw 1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.03 97.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.0 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.5 1.10 90.9% 1.05 95.2%
ТБ 1.75 1.07 93.5%
ТБ 2.0 1.09 91.7%
ТБ 2.25 1.20 83.3%
ТБ 2.5 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9%
ТБ 2.75 1.37 73.0%
ТБ 3.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 4.5 3.00 33.3%
ТБ 5.5 5.25 19.1%
ТМ 1.5 6.50 15.4%
ТМ 2.5 3.10 32.3%
ТМ 3.5 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 4.5 1.38 72.5%
ТМ 5.5 1.15 87.0%
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
D W W L W
02.05 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 2:2 LorientLorient
25.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:0 AngersAngers
22.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:0 NantesNantes
19.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:2 LionLion
21.03 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 4:0 NiceNice
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Stade Brestois 29
L D D L L
03.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:4 Paris FCParis FC
24.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 3:3 LensLens
19.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:1 NantesNantes
04.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 3:4 RennesRennes
21.03 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:3 AuxerreAuxerre
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
3.0 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParis Saint Germain - Stade Brestois 29

Paris Saint Germain
2 matches total
Stade Brestois 29
Paris Saint Germain: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Stade Brestois 29: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Paris Saint Germain 3:0 (25.10 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 14.09 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

6 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 6

Match history

25.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
3:0
Stade Brestois 29
14.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
3:1
Stade Brestois 29