Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
19.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris Saint Germain - Strasbourg

France Futbol
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
4 : 2
Finished
Strasbourg
Strasbourg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Strasbourg 19 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.30 / X 6.20 / 2 9.32
  • 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 74.1% / X 15.5% / Strasbourg 10.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 74.1%
X 15.5%
2 10.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Paris Saint Germain - Strasbourg

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.32 market consensus · line only
X 6.20 market consensus · line only
1 1.30 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.72 market consensus · line only
12 1.16 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.30 76.9%
Х 6.20 16.1%
П2 9.32 10.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.72 26.9%
home_away 1.16 86.2%
home_draw 1.09 91.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 1.89 52.9%
ТМ 3.5 2.00 50.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.11 90.1%
П2 7.73 12.9%
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
D W D W W
06.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 NiceNice
27.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:1 RennesRennes
21.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 Reims
14.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
01.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:1 LilleLille
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
11 Points
Strasbourg
D W D D
06.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:2 LensLens
29.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:0 MarseilleMarseille
21.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:3 LilleLille
15.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:1 AngersAngers
1 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.5 Conceded
6 Points