Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
17.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris Saint Germain - Strasbourg

France Futbol
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 3
Finished
Strasbourg
Strasbourg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Strasbourg 17 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.29 / X 5.90 / 2 9.48
  • 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 73.7% / X 16.1% / Strasbourg 10.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 73.8%
X 16.1%
2 10.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 66.0%
Under 2.5 34.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 17.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Paris Saint Germain - Strasbourg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.28 market consensus · line only
X 5.93 market consensus · line only
1 1.29 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.63 market consensus · line only
12 1.13 market consensus · line only
1X 1.06 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.68 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.94 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.28 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.39 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.77 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.96 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.28 78.1%
Х 6.25 16.0%
П2 9.54 10.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5%
Х 5.80 17.2% 6.00 16.7% 6.12 16.3% 6.00 16.7% 5.90 17.0% 6.00 16.7%
П2 9.25 10.8% 8.90 11.2% 10.70 9.4% 9.00 11.1% 9.25 10.8% 10.00 10.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 1.99 50.3% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 3.50 28.6% 3.74 26.7% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.84 26.0% 3.85 26.0%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
D W L W W
05.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 LilleLille
27.09 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 2:0 AuxerreAuxerre
22.09 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 0:1 MarseilleMarseille
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 2:0 LensLens
30.08 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 6:3 ToulouseToulouse
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Strasbourg
W L W W L
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 5:0 AngersAngers
26.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 MarseilleMarseille
21.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:2 Paris FCParis FC
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:0 Le HavreLe Havre
31.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:3 MonacoMonaco
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParis Saint Germain - Strasbourg

Paris Saint Germain
2 matches total
Strasbourg
Paris Saint Germain: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Strasbourg: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Paris Saint Germain 4:2 (19.10 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (4:2, 19.10 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 5

Match history

03.05 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
1:2
Strasbourg
19.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
4:2
Strasbourg