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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
03.04.2026 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris Saint Germain - Toulouse

France Football
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
- : -
Finished
Toulouse
Toulouse

Paris Saint Germain take on Toulouse on April 3, 2026 in the Ligue 1, France.

Recent form (W-D-L): Paris Saint Germain 3-0-2, Toulouse 2-1-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Paris Saint Germain, an implied 75% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Toulouse April 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.27 / X 6.01 / 2 10.07
  • 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 74.8% / X 15.8% / Toulouse 9.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4% 15 books · best price +2.4%
1 74.9%
X 15.7%
2 9.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.8%
Over 2.5 65.9%
Under 2.5 34.1%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, BetVictor). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.04.2026 18:45 UTC
Market 1 74.8% @ 1.27 / X 15.8% @ 6.01 / 2 9.4% @ 10.07
Match center

Paris Saint Germain - Toulouse

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.52 market consensus · line only
X 6.01 market consensus · line only
1 1.27 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.73 market consensus · line only
12 1.12 market consensus · line only
1X 1.06 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.75 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.03 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 8.70 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.42 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.75 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.93 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5%
X 5.90 17.0% 6.20 16.1% 6.26 16.0% 5.50 18.2% 6.00 16.7% 6.20 16.1%
10.00 10.0% 9.20 10.9% 11.20 8.9% 9.00 11.1% 10.00 10.0% 11.00 9.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 1.80 55.6% 1.96 51.0% 1.92 52.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 3.85 26.0% 3.84 26.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.75 26.7%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.10 90.9%
home_draw 1.04 96.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.04 96.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.5 1.14 87.7%
Over 2.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 3.0 1.81 55.3%
Over 3.25 1.90 52.6%
Over 3.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 4.5 3.45 29.0%
Over 5.5 6.25 16.0%
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 1.5 5.50 18.2%
Under 2.5 2.70 37.0%
Under 3.0 2.09 47.9%
Under 3.25 2.00 50.0%
Under 3.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 4.5 1.30 76.9%
Under 5.5 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
W L W W L
21.03 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 4:0 NiceNice
06.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:3 MonacoMonaco
28.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:0 Le HavreLe Havre
21.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:0 MetzMetz
13.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:3 RennesRennes
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Toulouse
W W L L D
21.03 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 1:0 LorientLorient
15.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 4:3 MetzMetz
07.03 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:1 MarseilleMarseille
28.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:1 RennesRennes
21.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 1:1 Paris FCParis FC
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParis Saint Germain - Toulouse

Paris Saint Germain
1 matches total
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Toulouse: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Paris Saint Germain 6:3 (30.08 19:05 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 9 goals (6:3, 30.08 19:05 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

6 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 6

Match history

30.08 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
6:3
Toulouse