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Ligue 1 France

11.04.2026 19:05 UTC Match prediction

11.04.2026 19:05 UTC

Finished

Ligue 1

Rennes - Angers

France Football

Stadium Roazhon Park

Capacity 31 127

Rennes

2 : 1

Finished

Angers

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Rennes — 63%

1 · Rennes ✓ Pick63.4%

market71%

X · draw22.0%

market18%

2 · Angers14.7%

market10%

Model estimate: win Rennes 63.4%, draw 22.0%, win Angers 14.7%. Model favourite — Rennes.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rennes - Angers April 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Strongest: Rennes - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.33 / X 5.18 / 2 9.30
1X2 market: Rennes 71.3% / X 18.4% / Angers 10.3%
Glicko: Rennes 63.4% / X 22.0% / Angers 14.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 30.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%

1 ✓ Pick 71.4%

X 18.3%

2 10.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%

Over 2.5 58.1%

Under 2.5 41.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 4/4

Confidence 67.6%

Total Under 2.5

Score 1:0

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center

Start 11.04.2026 19:05 UTC

Stadium Roazhon Park (Rennes)

Capacity 31,127

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🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Rennes 63%

💹 Market Rennes 7126%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Rennes - Angers

Rennes: Win 1.33 Rennes: Draw 5.00 Angers Win: 9.50 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.62 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 2.30 Individualnyy total golov Rennes bolshe 2.5: 2.38 Individualnyy total golov Rennes menshe 2.5: 1.53 Individualnyy total golov Angers bolshe 0.5: 1.…

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 2:1

Events 14

Statistics 24

Lineups 39

min Event Player Team

12' 12' Own Goal | H. Koffi M. Breunig Rennes

15' 15' Yellow Card | O. Camara Angers

25' 25' Normal Goal | M. Tamari Deniss Dzhenkins Rennes

62' 62' Substitution 2 | L. Machine | assist/sub out: P. Peter Angers

62' 62' Substitution 3 | L. Mouton | assist/sub out: P. Capelle Angers

65' 65' Normal Goal Angers

72' 72' Yellow Card | M. Louer Angers

73' 73' Substitution 1 | B. Embolo | assist/sub out: S. Szymanski T. Nianzou Rennes

Metric Rennes Angers SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.22 1.12 final

Zablokirovannye udary 1 1 final

Shots off target 7 1 final

Shots on target 7 4 final

Udary vsego 15 6 final

Fouls soversheno 9 15 final

Zheltye kartochki 0 2 final

Offsides 4 1 final

Rennes #3 J. Ekomié, #4 O. Camara, #6 L. Mouton, #7 A. Sbaï, #8 B. van den Boomen, #12 H. Koffi, #20 M. Louãr, #21 J. Lefort, #27 L. Rao-Lisoa, #36 L. Machine, #93 H. Belkebla

Angers #3 L. Brassier, #7 B. Embolo, #9 E. Lepaul, #10 L. Blas, #11 Mousa Tamari, #21 V. Rongier, #26 Q. Merlin, #30 Brice Samba, #36 Alidu Seidu, #45 M. Camara, #48 A. Ait Boudlal

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Sbaï Rennes football.player.assists 0

A. Sbaï Rennes Edinoborstva vyigrano 4

A. Sbaï Rennes Seyvy 0

A. Sbaï Rennes football.player.minutes_played 89

A. Sbaï Rennes Tochnost pasov % 1

A. Sbaï Rennes Klyuchevye pasy 30

A. Sbaï Rennes Pasy vsego 1

A. Sbaï Rennes Reyting (staryy) 5.9

A. Sbaï Rennes Shots on target 2

A. Sbaï Rennes Otbory vsego 22

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Rennes 71.1% 63.4% market and model agree

Draw 18.4% 22.0% draw risk

Angers 10.5% 14.7%

xG - 1.85 : 0.75

Total 2.5 Over 30.5% - Under 69.5%

Model check - - Difference 0.08

Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.08

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 63.4% / 22.0% / 14.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,586 / 1,461 Rennes / Angers

RD 75 / 76 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 9.20 market consensus · no value · model 14.7%

X 5.18 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.33 market consensus · no value · model 63.4%

Double chance

X2 3.23 market consensus · no value · model 36.6%

12 1.15 market consensus · no value · model 78.0%

1X 1.07 market consensus · no value · model 85.4%

Handicap

2 -0.5 3.37 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.57 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 7.00 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · no value · model 30.5%

Under 2.5 2.27 market consensus · weak value +57.7% · model 69.5%

Both teams to score

No 1.80 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.37 73.0%	1.34 74.6%	1.36 73.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.36 73.5%	1.30 76.9%
X	4.55 22.0%	5.30 18.9%	5.49 18.2%	5.00 20.0%	5.30 18.9%	5.00 20.0%
	8.40 11.9%	8.50 11.8%	10.00 10.0%	9.50 10.5%	10.00 10.0%	10.50 9.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.83 54.6%	1.77 56.5%	1.79 55.9%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.77 56.5%	1.81 55.3%
yes	1.85 54.1%	2.02 49.5%	1.94 51.6%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.94 51.6%	1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
draw_away	3.00 33.3%	3.42 29.2%	3.00 33.3%	3.35 29.9%	3.40 29.4%	3.30 30.3%
home_away	1.14 87.7%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%	1.16 86.2%	1.13 88.5%	1.07 93.5%
home_draw	1.06 94.3%	1.07 93.5%	1.07 93.5%	1.08 92.6%	1.05 95.2%	1.08 92.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.04 96.2%	—	1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0	—	—	1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25	—	—	1.07 93.5%
Over 1.5	1.22 82.0%	—	1.16 86.2%
Over 2.5	1.67 59.9%	—	—
Over 2.75	—	1.84 54.4%	—
Over 3.0	—	2.08 48.1%	—
Over 3.5	2.65 37.7%	—	—
Over 4.5	4.75 21.1%	—	—
Under 0.5	10.00 10.0%	—	—
Under 1.5	4.20 23.8%	—	—
Under 2.5	2.15 46.5%	—	—
Under 2.75	—	2.06 48.5%	—
Under 3.0	—	1.82 55.0%	—
Under 3.5	1.48 67.6%	—	—
Under 4.5	1.18 84.8%	—	—

Match center

Rennes

Founded 1901

Angers

Founded 1919

Match center

Rennes

AN A. Nordin Inactive

JJ J. Jacquet Shoulder Injury

Angers

CA C. Arcus Groin Injury

MC M. Courcoul Inactive

Rennes Founded: 1901

Angers Founded: 1919

Match center

Rennes

W D L W W

04.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1

Rennes 4:3 Stade Brestois 29

22.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1

Rennes 0:0 Metz

15.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1

Rennes 1:2 Lille

08.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1

Rennes 4:0 Nice

28.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1

Rennes 1:0 Toulouse

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

10 Points

Angers

D L L W L

05.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1

Angers 0:0 Lion

20.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1

Angers 1:5 Lens

14.03 18:00 UTC Ligue 1

Angers 0:2 Nice

07.03 16:00 UTC Ligue 1

Angers 1:0 Nantes

28.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1

Angers 0:2 Monaco

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

0.4 Scored

1.8 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyRennes - Angers

Rennes

1 matches total

Angers

Rennes: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Angers: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 31.08 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (31.08 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

31.08 13:00 UTC

Ligue 1

Rennes

1:1

Angers

Match center

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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.