Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
28.09.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Rennes - Lens

France Futbol
Rennes
Rennes
0 : 0
Finished
Lens
Lens

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rennes - Lens 28 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Line favourite market consensus: Rennes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.50 / X 3.53 / 2 2.72
  • 1X2 market: Rennes 38.1% / X 27.0% / Lens 35.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 38.1%
X 27.0%
2 35.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 56.8%
Under 2.5 43.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.09.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Rennes - Lens

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.73 market consensus · line only
X 3.54 market consensus · line only
1 2.51 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.54 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.46 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.67 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.39 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.56 39.1%
Х 3.62 27.6%
П2 2.77 36.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.48 40.3% 2.47 40.5% 2.58 38.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0%
Х 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.71 27.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2%
П2 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.79 35.8% 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.72 36.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.37 42.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.34 42.7% 2.54 39.4%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.56 64.1%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.49 67.1%
Match center
Rennes
D W D L W
20.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:2 NantesNantes
14.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 3:1 LionLion
31.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:1 AngersAngers
24.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 0:4 LorientLorient
15.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:0 MarseilleMarseille
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
8 Points
Lens
W L W W L
20.09 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 3:0 LilleLille
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:2 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
29.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 3:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
24.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:1 Le HavreLe Havre
16.08 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:1 LionLion
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRennes - Lens

Rennes
1 matches total
Lens
Rennes: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Lens: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 21.09 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (21.09 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

21.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes
1:1
Lens