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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
15.03.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
15.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Rennes - Lille

France Football
Rennes
Rennes
1 : 2
Finished
Lille
Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rennes - Lille March 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Line favourite market consensus: Rennes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.22 / X 3.31 / 2 3.27
  • 1X2 market: Rennes 42.5% / X 28.6% / Lille 28.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 42.6%
X 28.5%
2 28.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 50.0%
Under 2.5 50.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Rennes - Lille

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.28 market consensus · line only
X 3.32 market consensus · line only
1 2.23 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.66 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.33 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.31 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.28 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.71 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.11 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.27 44.1%
X 3.42 29.2%
3.38 29.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.20 45.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.31 43.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.44 29.1% 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%
3.15 31.8% 3.05 32.8% 3.43 29.2% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.14 46.7% 2.07 48.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.04 49.0% 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2% 1.69 59.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.69 59.2% 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.62 61.7% 1.69 59.2% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Rennes
W W W W L
08.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 4:0 NiceNice
28.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:0 ToulouseToulouse
22.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 3:0 AuxerreAuxerre
13.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 3:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
07.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:3 LensLens
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Lille
D W W D D
08.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:1 LorientLorient
01.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:0 NantesNantes
22.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:0 AngersAngers
14.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
06.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:0 MetzMetz
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.4 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRennes - Lille

Rennes
1 matches total
Lille
Rennes: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lille: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Rennes 2:0 (03.01 20:05 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 03.01 20:05 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

03.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes
2:0
Lille