PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
15.08.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
15.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Rennes - Marseille

France Football
Rennes
Rennes
1 : 0
Finished
Marseille
Marseille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rennes - Marseille August 15, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.

Line favourite Fonbet: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.95 / X 3.70 / 2 1.95
  • 1X2 market: Rennes 24.4% / X 26.1% / Marseille 49.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 24.4%
X 26.1%
2 49.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 52.2%
Under 2.5 47.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 15.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Rennes - Marseille

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.95 Fonbet · line only
X 3.70 Fonbet · line only
1 3.95 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.25 Fonbet · line only
12 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.09 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.90 25.6%
X 3.70 27.0%
1.99 50.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.70 27.0% 3.85 26.0% 4.12 24.3% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.60 27.8% 3.63 27.6% 3.30 30.3% 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0%
1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.01 49.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 2.02 49.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.80 55.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
Match center
Rennes
L W L L W
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:4 MarseilleMarseille
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:0 NiceNice
03.05 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:2 ToulouseToulouse
26.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:4 LionLion
18.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:1 NantesNantes
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.2 Conceded
6 Points
Marseille
W W D W W
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 4:2 RennesRennes
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 3:1 Le HavreLe Havre
04.05 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 1:1 LilleLille
27.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 4:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
19.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 5:1 Montpellier
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRennes - Marseille

Rennes
1 matches total
Marseille
Rennes: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Marseille: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Marseille 2:4 (17.05 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (2:4, 17.05 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 2

Match history

17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes
2:4
Marseille