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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
18.04.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
18.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Rennes - Nantes

France Football
Rennes
Rennes
2 : 1
Finished
Nantes
Nantes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rennes - Nantes April 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Line favourite market consensus: Rennes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.79 / X 3.77 / 2 4.89
  • 1X2 market: Rennes 54.3% / X 25.8% / Nantes 19.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 54.3%
X 25.8%
2 19.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5 50.3%
Under 2.5 49.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Rennes - Nantes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.89 market consensus · line only
X 3.77 market consensus · line only
1 1.79 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.14 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.79 55.9%
X 3.77 26.5%
4.89 20.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.14 46.7%
home_away 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.94 51.6%
Under 2.5 1.96 51.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.32 75.8%
3.62 27.6%
Match center
Rennes
W L W D L
13.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 5:1 Le HavreLe Havre
06.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 0:1 AuxerreAuxerre
25.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:0 Le HavreLe Havre
19.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
05.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:2 MonacoMonaco
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Nantes
W L D L D
04.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:1 NiceNice
27.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
20.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:1 NiceNice
06.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:2 LionLion
29.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:2 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRennes - Nantes

Rennes
0 matches total
Nantes
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history