Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
10.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Rennes - Paris FC

France Football
Stadium Roazhon Park
Rennes
Rennes
2 : 1
Finished
Paris FC
Paris FC

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rennes - Paris FC May 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Line favourite market consensus: Rennes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / X 4.65 / 2 5.09
  • 1X2 market: Rennes 61.0% / X 20.4% / Paris FC 18.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 67.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 61.1%
X 20.4%
2 18.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.9%
Over 2.5 67.8%
Under 2.5 32.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 10.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

Rennes - Paris FC

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.18 market consensus · line only
X 7.60 Fonbet · line only
1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.41 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.48 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.96 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.50 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.38 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.90 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.55 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.46 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.50 66.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4%
X 4.45 22.5% 4.92 20.3% 4.40 22.7% 4.75 21.1% 4.90 20.4% 4.50 22.2%
5.60 17.9% 5.28 18.9% 4.80 20.8% 5.00 20.0% 5.20 19.2% 5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.25 44.4% 2.59 38.6% 2.60 38.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.63 38.0%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.50 40.0% 2.48 40.3% 2.38 42.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.47 40.5% 2.40 41.7%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.13 88.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.13 88.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.5 1.15 87.0% 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.75 1.09 91.7%
Over 2.0 1.11 90.1%
Over 2.25 1.24 80.7%
Over 2.5 1.50 66.7% 1.35 74.1%
Over 2.75 1.44 69.4%
Over 3.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 4.5 3.75 26.7%
Over 5.5 6.50 15.4%
Under 1.5 5.25 19.1%
Under 2.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 3.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 4.5 1.25 80.0%
Under 5.5 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Rennes
L W W W W
03.05 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:4 LionLion
26.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:1 NantesNantes
19.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 3:0 StrasbourgStrasbourg
11.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:1 AngersAngers
04.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 4:3 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
12 Points
Paris FC
W L W W D
03.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 4:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
26.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 0:1 LilleLille
19.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 3:1 MetzMetz
10.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 4:1 MonacoMonaco
05.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:1 LorientLorient
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRennes - Paris FC

Rennes
1 matches total
Paris FC
Rennes: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Paris FC: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Rennes 1:0 (07.11 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 07.11 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

07.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes
1:0
Paris FC