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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
02.11.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction
02.11.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Rennes - Strasbourg

France Football
Rennes
Rennes
4 : 1
Finished
Strasbourg
Strasbourg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rennes - Strasbourg November 2, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Line favourite market consensus: Rennes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.59 / X 3.55 / 2 2.69
  • 1X2 market: Rennes 37.1% / X 27.1% / Strasbourg 35.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 37.1%
X 27.1%
2 35.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.6%
Over 2.5 57.5%
Under 2.5 42.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.11.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Rennes - Strasbourg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.69 market consensus · line only
X 3.56 market consensus · line only
1 2.60 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.49 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.64 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.21 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.43 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.65 37.7%
X 3.62 27.6%
2.68 37.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
2.53 39.5% 2.67 37.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.65 37.7% 2.65 37.7%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.62 27.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.58 27.9% 3.62 27.6% 3.62 27.6%
2.69 37.2% 2.74 36.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.70 37.0% 2.68 37.3% 2.68 37.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.54 39.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.36 42.4% 2.63 38.0% 2.40 41.7%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.57 63.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.54 64.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.51 66.2% 1.44 69.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.52 65.8% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4%
Match center
Rennes
D L D D D
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:2 ToulouseToulouse
26.10 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:2 NiceNice
19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:2 AuxerreAuxerre
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:2 Le HavreLe Havre
28.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 0:0 LensLens
0 Wins
4 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Strasbourg
W L D W L
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:0 AuxerreAuxerre
26.10 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 LionLion
17.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 5:0 AngersAngers
26.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 MarseilleMarseille
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRennes - Strasbourg

Rennes
0 matches total
Strasbourg
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history