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Ligue 1 France

28.02.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction

28.02.2026 16:00 UTC

Finished

Ligue 1

Rennes - Toulouse

France Football

Rennes

1 : 0

Finished

Toulouse

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rennes - Toulouse February 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Line favourite market consensus: Rennes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.95 / X 3.52 / 2 3.85
1X2 market: Rennes 48.5% / X 26.9% / Toulouse 24.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7%

1 48.5%

X 26.9%

2 24.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%

Over 2.5 52.6%

Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 28.02.2026 16:00 UTC

Match center

Rennes - Toulouse

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.86 market consensus · line only

X 3.53 market consensus · line only

1 1.95 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.86 market consensus · line only

12 1.29 market consensus · line only

1X 1.26 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.45 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.68 market consensus · line only

2 +1 7.00 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.14 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.98 50.5%
X	3.62 27.6%
	4.03 24.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.90 52.6%	1.97 50.8%	2.01 49.8%	1.95 51.3%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%
X	3.40 29.4%	3.65 27.4%	3.70 27.0%	3.30 30.3%	3.60 27.8%	3.55 28.2%
	3.95 25.3%	3.75 26.7%	4.03 24.8%	3.60 27.8%	3.80 26.3%	3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.05 48.8%	2.21 45.3%	2.12 47.2%	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.09 47.9%	2.22 45.1%
yes	1.70 58.8%	1.65 60.6%	1.66 60.2%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.65 60.6%	1.62 61.7%	1.66 60.2%	1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.85 54.1%	1.89 52.9%	1.80 55.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.88 53.2%	1.80 55.6%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.32 75.8%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.22 82.0%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.22 82.0%

Match center

Rennes

W W L L L

22.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1

Rennes 3:0 Auxerre

13.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1

Rennes 3:1 Paris Saint Germain

07.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1

Rennes 1:3 Lens

31.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1

Rennes 0:4 Monaco

24.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1

Rennes 0:2 Lorient

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.4 Scored

2.0 Conceded

6 Points

Toulouse

D L L D W

21.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1

Toulouse 1:1 Paris FC

15.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1

Toulouse 1:2 Le Havre

08.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1

Toulouse 0:1 Angers

01.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1

Toulouse 0:0 Auxerre

25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1

Toulouse 2:0 Stade Brestois 29

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

0.8 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyRennes - Toulouse

Rennes

2 matches total

Toulouse

Rennes: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Toulouse: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Toulouse 1:2 (03.05 17:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 29.10 20:05 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (29.10 20:05 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 3

Match history

29.10 20:05 UTC

Ligue 1

Rennes

2:2

Toulouse

03.05 17:00 UTC

Ligue 1

Rennes

1:2

Toulouse