Match center
Start
05.10.2024 15:00 UTC
05.10.2024 15:00 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Saint Etienne - Auxerre
3
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Saint Etienne - Auxerre 5 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Auxerre.
Line favourite market consensus: Auxerre. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.22 / X 3.30 / 2 2.42
- 1X2 market: Saint Etienne 30.3% / X 29.5% / Auxerre 40.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 51.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 2.7%
1
30.2%
X
29.5%
2
40.2%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5
48.7%
Under 2.5
51.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Saint Etienne - Auxerre
Form
3/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.42
market consensus · line only
X
3.30
market consensus · line only
1
3.22
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.39
market consensus · line only
12
1.37
market consensus · line only
1X
1.62
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.00
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.90
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.22 31.1% |
| Х | 3.30 30.3% |
| П2 | 2.42 41.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.39 71.9% |
| home_away | 1.37 73.0% |
| home_draw | 1.62 61.7% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.27 44.1% |
| П2 | 1.69 59.2% |
Match center
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Le Havre
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Wins
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Draws
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Losses
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Scored
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Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySaint Etienne - Auxerre
Saint Etienne
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals