Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
19.10.2024 17:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Saint Etienne - Lens

France Futbol
Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne
0 : 2
Finished
Lens
Lens

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Saint Etienne - Lens 19 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.

Line favourite market consensus: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.06 / X 4.42 / 2 1.56
  • 1X2 market: Saint Etienne 16.0% / X 21.9% / Lens 62.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 16.0%
X 21.9%
2 62.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 56.6%
Under 2.5 43.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.10.2024 17:00 UTC
Match center

Saint Etienne - Lens

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.56 market consensus · line only
X 4.42 market consensus · line only
1 6.06 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.15 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 2.59 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 6.06 16.5%
Х 4.42 22.6%
П2 1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.15 87.0%
home_away 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 2.59 38.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.71 58.5%
ТМ 2.5 2.23 44.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.70 21.3%
П2 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Saint Etienne
W D L W
05.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 3:1 AuxerreAuxerre
29.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 2:2 NantesNantes
20.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 0:8 NiceNice
13.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 1:0 LilleLille
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.8 Conceded
7 Points
Lens
D D D D D
06.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
28.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:0 NiceNice
21.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:1 RennesRennes
15.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:0 LionLion
01.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:1 MonacoMonaco
0 Wins
5 Draws
0 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySaint Etienne - Lens

Saint Etienne
0 matches total
Lens
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history