Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
13.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Saint Etienne - Lille

France Futbol
Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne
1 : 0
Finished
Lille
Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Saint Etienne - Lille 13 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.30 / X 3.67 / 2 1.74
  • 1X2 market: Saint Etienne 18.2% / X 26.3% / Lille 55.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 18.2%
X 26.3%
2 55.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 50.0%
Under 2.5 50.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Match center

Saint Etienne - Lille

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.74 market consensus · line only
X 3.67 market consensus · line only
1 5.30 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.19 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 2.18 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.30 18.9%
Х 3.67 27.3%
П2 1.74 57.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.19 84.0%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 2.18 45.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.94 51.6%
ТМ 2.5 1.94 51.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.88 25.8%
П2 1.28 78.1%
Match center
Lille
L
01.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySaint Etienne - Lille

Saint Etienne
0 matches total
Lille
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history