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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
Semi Finals. 1 round 15.05.2026 18:30 UTC Match prediction
15.05.2026 18:30 UTC Semi Finals. 1 round
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Saint Etienne - Rodez

France Football
Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne
1 : 0
Finished
Rodez
Rodez

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Saint Etienne - Rodez May 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Saint Etienne.

Line favourite market consensus: Saint Etienne. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / X 3.91 / 2 4.31
  • 1X2 market: Saint Etienne 54.0% / X 24.1% / Rodez 21.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 54.1%
X 24.1%
2 21.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 58.2%
Under 2.5 41.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Saint Etienne

Main outcome Saint Etienne
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 52.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Stadium Zheffrua-Gishar (Sent-Eten, France), vmestimost: 41965 64' Abdulaye Kante 0' 45' 90' 83' Sami Benshama
Start 15.05.2026 18:30 UTC
Match center

Saint Etienne - Rodez

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Sent-Eten - Rodez, 15 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. France — Perekhodnye matchi 2026, Semi Finals. 1 round. Sent-Eten - Rodez, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 12
Statistics 20
Lineups 36
min Event Player Team
60' 60' Substitution 1 | J. Duffus | assist/sub out: A. Moueffek Joshua Duffus Saint Etienne
64' 64' Yellow Card | A. Kante A. Kante Saint Etienne
67' 67' Substitution 1 | R. Ponti | assist/sub out: E. Jean-Lambert R. Ponti Rodez
71' 71' Substitution 2 | J. Le Cardinal | assist/sub out: M. Nade J. Le Cardinal Saint Etienne
71' 71' Substitution 3 | I. Cardona | assist/sub out: D. N'Guessan I. Cardona Saint Etienne
72' 72' Substitution 2 | I. Balde | assist/sub out: K. Nagera I. Balde Rodez
72' 72' Substitution 3 | J. Mendes | assist/sub out: M. Saka J. Mendes Rodez
79' 79' Substitution 4 | W. Younoussa | assist/sub out: O. Joly W. Younoussa Rodez
Metric Saint Etienne Rodez SStats
Zablokirovannye udary 2 5 final
Shots off target 8 6 final
Shots on target 2 2 final
Udary vsego 12 13 final
Fouls soversheno 13 13 final
Zheltye kartochki 1 1 final
Offsides 0 0 final
Ball possession, % 62 38 final
Saint Etienne #9 L. Stassin, #11 B. Old, #14 A. Kante, #17 Joshua Duffus, #30 Gautier Larsonneur, #6 Maxime Bernauer, #22 Z. Davitashvili, #35 Luan Gadegbeku, #7 I. Cardona, #26 J. Le Cardinal, #39 Kevin Pedro
Rodez #1 Q. Braat, #8 W. Younoussa, #18 I. Balde, #20 R. Ponti, #3 R. Lipinski, #11 T. Arconte, #27 A. Trouillet, #4 M. Magnin, #6 J. Mendes, #24 L. Laurent, #25 N. Galves
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Trouillet Rodez football.player.minutes_played 79
E. Jean-Lambert Rodez football.player.minutes_played 29
I. Balde Rodez football.player.minutes_played 72
J. Mendes Rodez football.player.minutes_played 72
K. Nagera Rodez football.player.minutes_played 24
M. Magnin Rodez football.player.minutes_played 96
M. Saka Rodez football.player.minutes_played 24
N. Galves Rodez football.player.minutes_played 96
O. Joly Rodez football.player.minutes_played 17
Q. Braat Rodez football.player.minutes_played 96
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.31 market consensus · line only
X 3.91 market consensus · line only
1 1.74 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.06 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.13 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.23 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8%
X 3.90 25.6% 4.05 24.7% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4% 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0%
4.10 24.4% 4.44 22.5% 4.33 23.1% 4.60 21.7% 4.40 22.7% 4.33 23.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 2.25 44.4% 2.22 45.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.19 45.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.52 65.8% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.11 47.4% 2.00 50.0% 2.12 47.2% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 — 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5%
Over 1.75 — 1.22 82.0%
Over 2.0 — 1.27 78.7%
Over 2.5 1.62 61.7% —
Over 3.5 2.55 39.2% —
Over 4.5 4.50 22.2% —
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3% —
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1% —
Under 1.5 4.33 23.1% —
Under 2.5 2.25 44.4% —
Under 3.5 1.50 66.7% —
Under 4.5 1.20 83.3% —
Under 5.5 1.08 92.6% —
Match center
Saint Etienne
L W L L W
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 2:3 ToulouseToulouse
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 2:0 Reims
03.05 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 1:3 MonacoMonaco
26.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 1:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
20.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 2:1 LionLion
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Rodez
W
12.05 18:30 UTC Ligue 1
Rodez 3:2 RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 93
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySaint Etienne - Rodez

Saint Etienne
0 matches total
Rodez
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Saint Etienne
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Rodez
Saint Etienne Team comparison Rodez
0 Games 1
0 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 3
0 Conceded 2
0 Points 3
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 12
0 Shots on target 5
daleniya 0 Poslematchevye penalti Mathis Magnin 0 Zuriko Davitashvili 1:0 Rafael Lipinski 1:0 Lukas Stassin 2:0 Jean Lambert Evans 2:1 Bendzhamin Old 2:1 Matis Saka 2 Zhoau Ferreyra 3:2 Tairik Arkont 3 Emen Mueffek 3 Kenni Nazhera 3:4 Dzhilian N'Gessan 4 Sami Benshama 4:5 Abdulaye Kante 5 Octave Joly 5:6 Maksim Bernauer 6 Nolan Galves 6 Bris Moble 6 Loni Quenabio 6 Mikael Nade 7:6 Nakazaniya Abdulaye Kante 64' Sami Benshama 83'

Sent-Eten Rodez 0 Games 1 0 Wins 1 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 3 0 Conceded 2 0 Points 3 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 12 0 Udary v stvor 5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 2 0 Offsaydy 1 0 Foly 14 0 % vladeniya myachom 37 0 Warnings 1 0 Sendoffs 0 Poslematchevye penalti Mathis Magnin 0 Zuriko Davitashvili 1:0 Rafael Lipinski 1:0 Lukas Stassin 2:0 Jean Lambert Evans 2:1 Bendzhamin Old 2:1 Matis Saka 2 Zhoau Ferreyra 3:2 Tairik Arkont 3 Emen Mueffek 3 Kenni Nazhera 3:4 Dzhilian N'Gessan 4 Sami Benshama 4:5 Abdulaye Kante 5 Octave Joly 5:6 Maksim Bernauer 6 Nolan Galves 6 Bris Moble 6 Loni Quenabio 6 Mikael Nade 7:6 Nakazaniya Abdulaye Kante 64' Sami Benshama 83'