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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
17.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Stade Brestois 29 - Angers

France Football
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 1
Finished
Angers
Angers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stade Brestois 29 - Angers May 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Stade Brestois 29.

Line favourite market consensus: Stade Brestois 29. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.85 / X 3.67 / 2 4.12
  • 1X2 market: Stade Brestois 29 51.2% / X 25.8% / Angers 23.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 51.2%
X 25.8%
2 23.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 52.5%
Under 2.5 47.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Stade Brestois 29

Main outcome Stade Brestois 29
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 53.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 17.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

Stade Brestois 29 - Angers

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 15
Statistics 22
Lineups 38
min Event Player Team
8' 8' Goal cancelled | A. Sbai A. Sbaï Angers
10' 10' Yellow Card | A. Bamba A. Bamba Angers
19' 19' Yellow Card | B. Chardonnet B. Chardonnet Stade Brestois 29
49' 49' Substitution 1 | H. Koffi | assist/sub out: M. Zinga H. Koffi Angers
55' 55' Normal Goal | R. Del Castillo | assist/sub out: K. Doumbia R. Del Castillo Stade Brestois 29
60' 60' Normal Goal | A. Sbai A. Sbaï Angers
64' 64' Substitution 1 | R. Del Castillo | assist/sub out: R. Labeau Lascary R. Del Castillo Stade Brestois 29
65' 65' Substitution 2 | F. Hanin | assist/sub out: J. Ekomie F. Hanin Angers
Metric Stade Brestois 29 Angers SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.57 0.68 final
Zablokirovannye udary 3 2 final
Shots off target 10 4 final
Shots on target 5 2 final
Udary vsego 18 8 final
Fouls soversheno 9 8 final
Zheltye kartochki 1 1 final
Offsides 0 2 final
Stade Brestois 29 #19 L. Ajorque, #27 D. Guindo, #30 G. Coudert, #33 H. Makalou, #99 P. Mboup, #23 K. Doumbia, #24 L. Tousart, #71 R. Le Guen, #5 B. Chardonnet, #10 R. Del Castillo, #77 K. Lala
Angers #7 A. Sbaï, #12 H. Koffi, #21 J. Lefort, #26 F. Hanin, #4 O. Camara, #9 G. Koyalipou, #93 H. Belkebla, #8 B. van den Boomen, #25 A. Bamba, #15 P. Capelle, #27 L. Rao-Lisoa
Player Team Metric SStats
B. Chardonnet Stade Brestois 29 football.player.assists 0
B. Chardonnet Stade Brestois 29 football.player.minutes_played 90
B. Locko Stade Brestois 29 football.player.assists 0
B. Locko Stade Brestois 29 football.player.minutes_played 8
D. Guindo Stade Brestois 29 football.player.assists 0
D. Guindo Stade Brestois 29 football.player.minutes_played 82
G. Coudert Stade Brestois 29 football.player.assists 0
G. Coudert Stade Brestois 29 football.player.minutes_played 90
H. Magnetti Stade Brestois 29 football.player.assists 0
H. Magnetti Stade Brestois 29 football.player.minutes_played 17
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.50 Fonbet · line only
X 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1 5.60 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.55 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.07 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.45 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.88 25.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.60 27.8%
4.00 25.0% 4.32 23.2% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4% 4.30 23.3% 4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.07 48.3%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.71 58.5% 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.93 51.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.12 89.3%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0% 1.23 81.3%
Over 1.75 1.29 77.5%
Over 2.0 1.37 73.0%
Over 2.25 1.68 59.5%
Over 2.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 3.5 3.00 33.3%
Over 4.5 5.75 17.4%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.75 26.7%
Under 2.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 3.5 1.38 72.5%
Under 4.5 1.13 88.5%
Match center
Stade Brestois 29
L L L D D
13.05 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
03.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:4 Paris FCParis FC
24.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 3:3 LensLens
19.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:1 NantesNantes
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.2 Conceded
2 Points
Angers
D L L D L
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
03.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:3 AuxerreAuxerre
25.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
18.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:1 Le HavreLe Havre
11.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:2 RennesRennes
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStade Brestois 29 - Angers

Stade Brestois 29
1 matches total
Angers
Stade Brestois 29: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Angers: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Stade Brestois 29 2:0 (28.09 15:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 28.09 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

28.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29
2:0
Angers