Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
04.01.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Stade Brestois 29 - Auxerre

France Futbol
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
2 : 0
Finished
Auxerre
Auxerre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stade Brestois 29 - Auxerre 4 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Stade Brestois 29.

Line favourite market consensus: Stade Brestois 29. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.96 / X 3.34 / 2 4.10
  • 1X2 market: Stade Brestois 29 48.4% / X 28.4% / Auxerre 23.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 48.4%
X 28.4%
2 23.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 44.7%
Under 2.5 55.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.01.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

Stade Brestois 29 - Auxerre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.11 market consensus · line only
X 3.34 market consensus · line only
1 1.96 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.86 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.24 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.07 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.86 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.00 50.0%
Х 3.39 29.5%
П2 4.25 23.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.98 50.5% 1.98 50.5% 2.02 49.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5%
Х 3.35 29.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.46 28.9% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9%
П2 3.90 25.6% 3.95 25.3% 4.32 23.2% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.10 24.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.92 52.1%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.26 79.4%
Match center
Stade Brestois 29
L W W W L
13.12 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:3 RennesRennes
05.12 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:0 MonacoMonaco
30.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
23.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 3:2 MetzMetz
08.11 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:3 MarseilleMarseille
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
9 Points
Auxerre
L W D D L
14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 3:4 LilleLille
07.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 3:1 MetzMetz
29.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:1 Paris FCParis FC
23.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:0 LionLion
09.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:2 AngersAngers
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStade Brestois 29 - Auxerre

Stade Brestois 29
1 matches total
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Auxerre: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Auxerre 0:3 (27.09 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 27.09 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

27.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29
0:3
Auxerre