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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
20.04.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Stade Brestois 29 - Lens

France Football
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 3
Finished
Lens
Lens

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stade Brestois 29 - Lens April 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Stade Brestois 29.

Line favourite market consensus: Stade Brestois 29. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.38 / X 3.40 / 2 3.14
  • 1X2 market: Stade Brestois 29 40.7% / X 28.5% / Lens 30.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 40.7%
X 28.5%
2 30.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 50.3%
Under 2.5 49.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.04.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Stade Brestois 29 - Lens

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.14 market consensus · line only
X 3.40 market consensus · line only
1 2.38 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.62 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.38 42.0%
X 3.40 29.4%
3.14 31.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.40 71.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 2.5 1.95 51.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.69 59.2%
2.23 44.8%
Match center
Stade Brestois 29
D W W D W
13.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 3:3 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
05.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:1 MonacoMonaco
26.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:1 Reims
19.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:1 RennesRennes
06.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:0 Le HavreLe Havre
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
11 Points
Lens
L W L W D
11.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:2 Reims
06.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:0 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
26.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:2 LilleLille
19.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:0 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
06.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStade Brestois 29 - Lens

Stade Brestois 29
0 matches total
Lens
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history