PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
20.02.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
20.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Stade Brestois 29 - Marseille

France Football
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
2 : 0
Finished
Marseille
Marseille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stade Brestois 29 - Marseille February 20, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.

Line favourite Fonbet: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.95 / X 3.80 / 2 1.89
  • 1X2 market: Stade Brestois 29 24.2% / X 25.2% / Marseille 50.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 24.2%
X 25.2%
2 50.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5 57.1%
Under 2.5 42.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 20.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Stade Brestois 29 - Marseille

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.89 Fonbet · line only
X 3.80 Fonbet · line only
1 3.95 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.25 Fonbet · line only
12 1.27 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.92 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.27 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.04 24.8%
X 3.91 25.6%
1.90 52.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.90 25.6% 3.75 26.7% 4.04 24.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.95 25.3% 3.98 25.1% 3.50 28.6% 3.75 26.7% 3.85 26.0%
1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.94 51.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 2.25 44.4% 2.38 42.0% 2.28 43.9% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.20 83.3%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.91 52.4% 1.96 51.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4%
Match center
Stade Brestois 29
D W D L L
14.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:1 LilleLille
07.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:0 LorientLorient
01.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:2 NiceNice
25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:2 ToulouseToulouse
18.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:2 LionLion
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Marseille
D L D W W
14.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 2:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
08.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 0:5 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
31.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 2:2 Paris FCParis FC
24.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 3:1 LensLens
17.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 5:2 AngersAngers
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
2.4 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStade Brestois 29 - Marseille

Stade Brestois 29
2 matches total
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Marseille: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Marseille 0:3 (08.11 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (1:4, 27.04 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 7
7 Goals conceded 1

Match history

08.11 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29
0:3
Marseille
27.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29
1:4
Marseille