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Ligue 1 France

05.12.2025 18:00 UTC Match prediction

05.12.2025 18:00 UTC

Finished

Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 - Monaco

France Football

Stade Brestois 29

1 : 0

Finished

Monaco

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stade Brestois 29 - Monaco December 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.40 / X 3.81 / 2 2.02
1X2 market: Stade Brestois 29 28.0% / X 25.0% / Monaco 47.0%
Total 2.5: over probability 62.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%

1 28.0%

X 25.0%

2 47.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%

Over 2.5 62.8%

Under 2.5 37.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 05.12.2025 18:00 UTC

Match center

Stade Brestois 29 - Monaco

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.02 market consensus · line only

X 3.82 market consensus · line only

1 3.41 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.32 market consensus · line only

12 1.26 market consensus · line only

1X 1.82 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.11 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.00 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.72 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.50 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.53 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.64 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.45 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.56 28.1%
X	3.92 25.5%
	2.03 49.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	3.45 29.0%	3.30 30.3%	3.54 28.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.40 29.4%	3.45 29.0%
X	3.75 26.7%	3.95 25.3%	4.00 25.0%	3.60 27.8%	3.90 25.6%	3.80 26.3%
	1.99 50.3%	2.02 49.5%	2.07 48.3%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	2.02 49.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.65 37.7%	2.74 36.5%	2.59 38.6%	2.63 38.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.62 38.2%	2.63 38.0%	2.55 39.2%	2.81 35.6%
yes	1.42 70.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.44 69.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.47 68.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.30 76.9%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.34 74.6%	1.35 74.1%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.29 77.5%
home_draw	1.77 56.5%	1.84 54.4%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.85 54.1%