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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
04.10.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Stade Brestois 29 - Nantes

France Football
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
0 : 0
Finished
Nantes
Nantes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stade Brestois 29 - Nantes October 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Stade Brestois 29.

Line favourite market consensus: Stade Brestois 29. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.93 / X 3.57 / 2 3.99
  • 1X2 market: Stade Brestois 29 49.4% / X 26.7% / Nantes 23.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 49.4%
X 26.7%
2 23.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 49.0%
Under 2.5 51.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.10.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Stade Brestois 29 - Nantes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.00 market consensus · line only
X 3.58 market consensus · line only
1 1.93 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.90 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.25 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.46 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.86 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.95 51.3%
X 3.63 27.6%
4.14 24.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.93 51.8% 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4%
3.90 25.6% 3.85 26.0% 4.18 23.9% 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 2.03 49.3%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.79 55.9% 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.83 54.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.96 51.0%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.27 78.7%
Match center
Stade Brestois 29
W W L L L
28.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:0 AngersAngers
20.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 4:1 NiceNice
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:2 Paris FCParis FC
29.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:3 LensLens
24.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:2 ToulouseToulouse
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Nantes
D D L W L
27.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:2 ToulouseToulouse
20.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:2 RennesRennes
13.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:1 NiceNice
30.08 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:0 AuxerreAuxerre
24.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStade Brestois 29 - Nantes

Stade Brestois 29
0 matches total
Nantes
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history