Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
25.10.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Stade Brestois 29 - Paris Saint Germain

France Futbol
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
0 : 3
Finished
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stade Brestois 29 - Paris Saint Germain 25 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 8.24 / X 5.50 / 2 1.35
  • 1X2 market: Stade Brestois 29 11.7% / X 17.4% / Paris Saint Germain 70.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 11.6%
X 17.4%
2 71.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5 65.6%
Under 2.5 34.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.10.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Stade Brestois 29 - Paris Saint Germain

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.34 market consensus · line only
X 5.51 market consensus · line only
1 8.30 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.08 market consensus · line only
12 1.15 market consensus · line only
1X 3.33 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.10 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.51 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.74 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.09 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 9.14 10.9%
Х 5.73 17.5%
П2 1.33 75.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 8.20 12.2% 8.10 12.4% 8.55 11.7% 7.50 13.3% 9.25 10.8% 9.00 11.1%
Х 5.30 18.9% 5.50 18.2% 5.77 17.3% 5.75 17.4% 5.50 18.2% 5.50 18.2%
П2 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.29 77.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.10 47.6% 2.16 46.3% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.04 49.0% 2.19 45.7% 2.07 48.3%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.69 59.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.69 59.2% 1.74 57.5% 1.74 57.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.06 94.3% 1.09 91.7% 1.10 90.9% 1.09 91.7% 1.09 91.7% 1.09 91.7%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 3.25 30.8% 3.32 30.1% 3.25 30.8% 3.35 29.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.59 27.9%
Match center
Stade Brestois 29
D D W W L
19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 3:3 LorientLorient
04.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:0 NantesNantes
28.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:0 AngersAngers
20.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 4:1 NiceNice
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:2 Paris FCParis FC
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Paris Saint Germain
D D W L W
17.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
05.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 LilleLille
27.09 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 2:0 AuxerreAuxerre
22.09 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 0:1 MarseilleMarseille
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 2:0 LensLens
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStade Brestois 29 - Paris Saint Germain

Stade Brestois 29
1 matches total
Paris Saint Germain
Stade Brestois 29: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Paris Saint Germain: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Paris Saint Germain 1:3 (14.09 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 14.09 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

14.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29
1:3
Paris Saint Germain